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Lucy Zhang

Kirkland, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
192 matches · 123W–69L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.46
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
70%
stay 3.5
30%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 92% stay · 8% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.39. Lower than today’s 3.46 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Kirkland · 3.5
11 of 45
WA · 3.5
150 of 1209

Lucy is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lucy has played at 2.5, 3.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 2 moves up and 0 down.

2.02.53.03.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Lucy has gone from the 33rd to the 61st percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
2.5
77.8%
7W–2L · 66.4% of games
3.0
55.3%
21W–17L · 54.7% of games
3.5
63.9%
39W–22L · 55% of games
4.0
45.5%
5W–6L · 47.6% of games
6.0mixed
81%
17W–4L · 62.2% of games
7.0mixed
71.4%
10W–4L · 57.5% of games
8.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history192 matches
L
2026-07-27 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anabela Torrealba
+0.015better than expected — took 50% of games against 43% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-07-24 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sherry Liao
−0.029below expectation — took 35% of games against 50% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
Nari Benson / Susan Shayegani
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anabela Torrealba
−0.007about as expected — took 38% of games against 43% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anabela Torrealba
+0.034better than expected — took 60% of games against 44% expected
2-6, 6-0, 1-0
W
Tana Harris / Nicole Costales
2026-07-02 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kaci Pham
+0.072better than expected — took 80% of games against 44% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-06-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anabela Torrealba
+0.007about as expected — took 37% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
Laura Walsh / Shan Zhuchamps
2026-06-13 · #2 Doubles · with Donna Kim
−0.022below expectation — took 32% of games against 44% expected
6-1, 7-5
W
Rachel Wallach / Lina Nguyenchamps
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · with Donna Kim
+0.059better than expected — took 86% of games against 53% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
Carolina DeHaan / Shubkarman Randhawa
2026-06-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Medilyn Barrett
−0.045below expectation — took 43% of games against 61% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
2026-05-31 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Medilyn Barrett
+0.042better than expected — took 100% of games against 68% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Yan Hong / Alexis Chen
2026-05-23 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Donna Kim
−0.022below expectation — took 40% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Irene Chen / Kayla Evans
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Donna Kim
−0.007about as expected — took 59% of games against 60% expected
7-6, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.