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Rachel Medrano

Lake Oswego, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
34 matches · 20W–14L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.00
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
49%
stay 3.0
51%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 84% stay · 16% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.92. Lower than today’s 3.00 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Lake Oswego · 3.0
9 of 52
OR · 3.0
127 of 600

Rachel is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams10 teams · 2023–2026
Ace Ace Baby
2026 One Doubles · 3.0 Women
2026
SHC-Thompson/Sajadi
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Women
2026
SHC-Thompson/Sajadi
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Women
2026
Medrano-Ace Ace Baby
2025 One Doubles · 3.0 Women
2025
SHC-Sajadi/Thompson
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Women
2025
SHC-Thompson/Sajadi
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Women
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Rachel has been a steady 3.0 across all 4 seasons on record.

2.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Rachel has gone from the 76th to the 58th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.0
61.5%
16W–10L · 54.7% of games
6.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 50% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history34 matches
L
Ying Deng / Elise D Harvey
2026-07-19 · Ace Ace Baby · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alexandra MacDonald
0.011about as expected — took 50% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
L
2026-06-20 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #1 Doubles · with Ashley Sajadi
0.029below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2026-06-19 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #1 Singles
+0.052better than expected — took 100% of games against 65% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-06-13 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #2 Singles · 3.0
+0.010better than expected — took 62% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
Cierra Speck / Margaret Convery
2026-06-12 · Ace Ace Baby · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alexandra MacDonald
+0.023better than expected — took 59% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
Xizhen Palmer / Azure Olson
2026-06-09 · Ace Ace Baby · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alexandra MacDonald
0.023below expectation — took 42% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
Melissa Harder
2026-05-16 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.011better than expected — took 56% of games against 49% expected
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-05-02 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ashley Sajadi
+0.052better than expected — took 71% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
Ann Jensen
2026-04-18 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.054better than expected — took 62% of games against 39% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
2026-04-04 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alexandra MacDonald
+0.014better than expected — took 52% of games against 47% expected
7-5, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-03-22 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.029better than expected — took 50% of games against 40% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Hiroe Felix / Becki Garrow
2026-03-14 · SHC-Thompson/Sajadi · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alexandra MacDonald
+0.036better than expected — took 71% of games against 52% expected
6-2, 6-3
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