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David Vail

Longview, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
75 matches · 41W–34L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.89
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 20 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
91%
stay 3.0
9%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.84. Lower than today’s 2.89 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Longview · 3.0
3 of 7
WA · 3.0
441 of 755

David is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams17 teams · 2023–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

David has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, David has gone from the 66th to the 11th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
2.5
80%
8W–2L · 68.3% of games
3.0
56.7%
17W–13L · 51.7% of games
3.5
28.6%
2W–5L · 45.9% of games
6.0mixed
52.9%
9W–8L · 50.7% of games
7.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history75 matches
W
2026-07-12 · MVTC-Kardas/Simons · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Tuni Stecker
+0.000about as expected — took 55% of games against 50% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-07-11 · MVTC-Kardas/Simons · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Tuni Stecker
+0.000better than expected — took 71% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2026-06-13 · MV-Chace/Ramshaw · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.011below expectation — took 28% of games against 38% expected
7-5, 6-0
W
Alexander Abrazaldo / Austin Tucker
2026-05-31 · MV-Chace/Ramshaw · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Nestor Daniel Hernandez Juarez
+0.021better than expected — took 52% of games against 44% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
J Will Morrison
2026-05-24 · MV-Chace/Ramshaw · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.024below expectation — took 8% of games against 31% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
Greg Arendt / Ned Cannon
2026-05-17 · MV-Chace/Ramshaw · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Matt Ramshaw
0.014below expectation — took 56% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-05-15 · VTC-McKinnie/White · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mikhail Gongadze
+0.010better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
2026-05-10 · MV-Chace/Ramshaw · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.048below expectation — took 28% of games against 52% expected
6-0, 7-5
L
2026-04-26 · VTC-McKinnie/White · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kenneth Pierce
+0.006about as expected — took 44% of games against 42% expected
6-1, 2-6, 1-0
L
Scott Roth
2026-03-15 · VTC-Grant · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.060below expectation — took 29% of games against 58% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Mark Beilstein / James Posford
2026-03-15 · MV-Ramshaw · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jason Meunier
+0.003about as expected — took 52% of games against 52% expected
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-03-01 · MV-Ramshaw · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Brian Hetland
0.003below expectation — took 29% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.