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Karen Sullivan

West Linn, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
143 matches · 62W–81L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.02
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
42%
down to 4.0
58%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 25% down · 75% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.05. Higher than today’s 4.02 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
West Linn · 4.5
10 of 12
OR · 4.5
155 of 226

Karen is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams75 teams · 2001–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Karen has been 4.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Karen has gone from the 46th to the 92nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
4.5
54.4%
31W–26L · 51.5% of games
8.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
9.0
50%
11W–11L · 50.1% of games
8.0mixed
28.6%
2W–5L · 48.5% of games
9.0mixed
25%
7W–21L · 44.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history143 matches
W
2026-06-27 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #3 Doubles · with Amy Murphy
+0.023better than expected — took 54% of games against 44% expected
7-5, 6-7, 1-0
W
Cathy Crowson / Tracie Kukachamps
2026-06-26 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #3 Doubles · with Susan Branam
+0.002about as expected — took 55% of games against 54% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-06-26 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #3 Doubles · with Amy Murphy
+0.013better than expected — took 67% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2026-06-21 · SHC-Monson · #3 Doubles · 9.0 · with Kyle Stalker
+0.000about as expected — took 52% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-07 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tracey Riddle
+0.002about as expected — took 67% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-05-09 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Raini Spitze
0.037below expectation — took 25% of games against 46% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2026-05-01 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Raini Spitze
+0.029better than expected — took 75% of games against 58% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
2026-04-12 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #2 Doubles · with Raini Spitze
0.026below expectation — took 20% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2026-04-11 · SHC-Solomon/Riddle · #3 Doubles · with Raini Spitze
0.012below expectation — took 38% of games against 45% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
2026-03-21 · N OR-SHC-Sullivan · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Raini Spitze
+0.019better than expected — took 60% of games against 51% expected
6-1, 5-7, 1-0
W
2026-03-08 · N OR-SHC-Sullivan · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Raini Spitze
+0.016about as expected — took 47% of games against 43% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-02-28 · N OR-SHC-Sullivan · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Erin Link
+0.005better than expected — took 92% of games against 76% expected
6-0, 6-1
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