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Kentaro Aoki

Seattle, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
53 matches · 37W–16L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.85
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
97%
stay 4.0
3%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.81. Lower than today’s 3.85 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.0
29 of 186
WA · 4.0
89 of 782

Kentaro is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Kentaro has been 4.0 for all 5 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.54.020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Kentaro has gone from the 98th to the 59th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
4.0
75%
27W–9L · 62.2% of games
8.0mixed
75%
6W–2L · 51.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history53 matches
L
Yura Kostiukevych / Seamus Miller
2026-05-02 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Steven Luong
0.025below expectation — took 29% of games against 44% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Nguyen Tong / Edwin Tanumulia
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Steven Luong
+0.030better than expected — took 65% of games against 50% expected
7-5, 6-2
W
ISAMU KIBE / Karthik Jayachandran
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Nickolay Tchervenski
+0.024better than expected — took 86% of games against 66% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
Jacob Mann / Felix Schuler
2026-04-11 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bofan Hsu
0.026below expectation — took 35% of games against 49% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
2026-03-21 · #3 Doubles · with Bofan Hsu
0.022below expectation — took 42% of games against 52% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Abraham Lee / Brandon Lucero
2026-03-07 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bofan Hsu
0.008about as expected — took 67% of games against 65% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
David Park / Kenneth Cho
2026-02-07 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with David Lam
0.027below expectation — took 45% of games against 56% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
DHARAM PATULE / Daifu Ye
2026-01-17 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bofan Hsu
0.010about as expected — took 55% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
L
Steve Fong / Jeffrey Lee
2026-01-11 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bofan Hsu
0.039below expectation — took 50% of games against 63% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2025-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Tonee Rockwell
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 49% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Glenn Chinn / Sean Benoit
2025-05-10 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Craig Collins
+0.017better than expected — took 71% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
Kevin Pham / William Chan
2025-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with YUTARO SAKAI
+0.008better than expected — took 68% of games against 61% expected
7-5, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.