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Kelly Carolus

Port Ludlow, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
121 matches · 55W–66L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.85
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 15 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
97%
stay 4.0
3%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.80. Lower than today’s 3.85 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 4.0
101 of 782

Kelly is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Kelly has played at 4.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

3.54.04.52019202020212022202320242026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Kelly has gone from the 70th to the 31st percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
4.0
61.5%
8W–5L · 60% of games
4.5
43.1%
22W–29L · 48.8% of games
8.0
55.6%
5W–4L · 51.8% of games
9.0
66.7%
10W–5L · 49.8% of games
8.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
9.0mixed
50%
3W–3L · 48.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history121 matches
W
David Larsen / Julius Sacramento
2026-06-05 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with David White
+0.001about as expected — took 62% of games against 59% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Elvis Ochoa / David Larsen
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with David White
+0.014better than expected — took 63% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Benjamin Doan / Austin Kelley
2026-04-19 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Johan An
+0.091better than expected — took 65% of games against 31% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
Vinh Nguyen / Khoa Nguyen
2026-04-12 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Young Han
−0.030below expectation — took 37% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
Bruno Caiado / Anders Cramer
2026-04-04 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Graeme Chapman
−0.041below expectation — took 29% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
Brendan Peters / Jacob Mann
2026-03-28 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Young Han
+0.004about as expected — took 56% of games against 52% expected
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-03-15 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mike McDermott
+0.035better than expected — took 80% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Carl Toews / Luke Williams
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Young Han
+0.008better than expected — took 80% of games against 68% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-02-28 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Young Han
−0.009about as expected — took 47% of games against 51% expected
6-7, 4-2
W
2026-02-08 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Young Han
−0.029below expectation — took 65% of games against 71% expected
7-5, 6-2
W
2026-01-31 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Joshua Hulburt
+0.024better than expected — took 92% of games against 70% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
2026-01-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Young Han
+0.054better than expected — took 71% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 6-3
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.