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Karen Pan

Seattle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
135 matches · 64W–71L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.46
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 32 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
67%
stay 3.5
33%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 91% stay · 9% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.39. Lower than today’s 3.46 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.5
30 of 256
WA · 3.5
139 of 1209

Karen is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Karen has been 3.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Karen has gone from the 59th to the 92nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.5
58.7%
44W–31L · 54.1% of games
4.0
24.1%
7W–22L · 39.2% of games
8.0
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
50%
8W–8L · 49.7% of games
8.0mixed
25%
2W–6L · 39.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history135 matches
W
Nikki Ryu Kitagaito / Christa Lum
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Courtney Brown
0.025below expectation — took 63% of games against 69% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Amy McCullough / Molly Scott
2026-06-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Melissa Deng
+0.022better than expected — took 65% of games against 53% expected
4-6, 6-0, 1-0
W
Laura Walsh / Xiaoyi Yechamps
2026-06-21 · #3 Doubles · with Faith Beers
0.005about as expected — took 47% of games against 50% expected
0-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Erin Coomer / Katie Misiewiczchamps
2026-06-20 · #3 Doubles · with Arie Park
+0.004better than expected — took 67% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
Hien Nguyen / Michelle Osborn
2026-06-16 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Arie Park
+0.040better than expected — took 80% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · with Tammy Do
0.017below expectation — took 33% of games against 43% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Michelle Dauphiny Becker / Rutchel Lois Abellachamps
2026-06-12 · #3 Doubles · with Tammy Do
+0.053better than expected — took 92% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
Tammy Hu / Lorraine Eng
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Erica Jordan
0.013about as expected — took 67% of games against 67% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Blakely Tsurusaki
+0.023better than expected — took 61% of games against 50% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
W
Yvonne Klopfenstein / Evelyn Wong
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Blakely Tsurusaki
+0.011better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Chardie Byrne / Emily Perkins
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Faith Beers
+0.009better than expected — took 71% of games against 62% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Yasmine Hejazi / Daye Chung
2026-04-26 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Isabella Hashimoto
+0.019better than expected — took 65% of games against 55% expected
7-5, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.