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Arashan Heikkila

Draper, UT
4.5C year-end 2025
244 matches · 171W–73L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
4.35
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 16 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 4.0
97%
stay 4.5
3%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.31. Lower than today’s 4.35 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
UT · 4.5
8 of 28
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Arashan is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Arashan has played at 3.5, 4.5 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.04.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Arashan has gone from the 50th to the 86th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level10 levels played
0.0
66.7%
4W–2L · 60.4% of games
3.5
100%
13W–0L · 65.9% of games
4.0
71.1%
27W–11L · 58.1% of games
4.5
69.7%
76W–33L · 56% of games
5.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
83.3%
5W–1L · 78.7% of games
7.5mixed
100%
4W–0L · 77.4% of games
8.5mixed
50%
6W–6L · 50.4% of games
9.0mixed
62.5%
5W–3L · 58.5% of games
9.5mixed
2W–0L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history244 matches
W
Jane McQuade / Cathy Davis
2026-07-23 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jen Langston
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-4
W
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brook Vietor
−0.060below expectation — took 57% of games against 76% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Karin Smith / Jennifer Hathaway
2026-07-11 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jen Langston
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
W
2026-07-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kimberly Simpson
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
L
Cyndi Jones / Mariana Gaitan
2026-06-27 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Lisa Sterbenz
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
W
Kristi Dial / Nancy Kirk
2026-06-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kimberly Simpson
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
L
Jen Dickey / Amy Woolley
2026-06-25 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jen Langston
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 7-5
W
Diana Granger / Lynette Duranchamps
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · with Brook Vietor
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
L
Marie Roberts / Teisa Linscottchamps
2026-06-19 · #1 Doubles · with Tracey Valentine
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 0-6, 1-0
W
Cyndi Jones / Mariana Gaitanchamps
2026-06-19 · #1 Doubles · with Kimberly Simpson
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
W
Kathy Miller-Rees / Molly Richards
2026-06-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tracey Valentine
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
W
Cathy Davis / Marianne Squires
2026-05-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brook Vietor
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
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