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Michelle Cahill

Seattle, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
80 matches · 47W–33L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.49
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
54%
down to 3.5
46%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 33% down · 67% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.54. Higher than today’s 3.49 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.0
168 of 186
WA · 4.0
724 of 782

Michelle is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Michelle has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 8 seasons — 2 moves up and 1 down.

3.03.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Michelle has gone from the 2nd to the 21st percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.5
66.7%
26W–13L · 59.7% of games
4.0
55.9%
19W–15L · 48.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history80 matches
L
2026-06-05 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Erin Hathaway
−0.031below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alyssa Campbell
−0.010about as expected — took 47% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
L
2026-04-17 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kirstin Anderson
+0.007about as expected — took 33% of games against 35% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-03-27 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jamie Smith
+0.011about as expected — took 45% of games against 43% expected
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2026-01-18 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jamie Smith
+0.041better than expected — took 55% of games against 39% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-01-09 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alyssa Campbell
+0.023better than expected — took 44% of games against 39% expected
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2025-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Meghan Maguire
−0.032below expectation — took 29% of games against 47% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2025-05-08 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alyssa Campbell
−0.013below expectation — took 44% of games against 53% expected
6-4, 1-6, 1-0
L
2025-04-11 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kelly Shewey
−0.029below expectation — took 25% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2025-03-28 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alyssa Campbell
−0.015about as expected — took 61% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
W
2025-03-15 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sarah Gustafson
+0.038better than expected — took 56% of games against 40% expected
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
W
2025-03-07 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jamie Smith
+0.028better than expected — took 75% of games against 58% expected
6-0, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

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None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.