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Jill Watson

Camas, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
52 matches · 24W–28L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.62
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
8%
down to 2.5
92%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 5% down · 95% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.63. Higher than today’s 2.62 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Camas · 3.0
6 of 6
WA · 3.0
736 of 755

Jill is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jill has been 3.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

2.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Jill has gone from the 31st to the 29th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.0
43.2%
19W–25L · 46.9% of games
6.0
62.5%
5W–3L · 58.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history52 matches
L
Diana Cheng / Jihyun Kang
2026-02-22 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Becky Coughlin
0.043below expectation — took 14% of games against 40% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-02-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Laura Fredericksen
0.013about as expected — took 47% of games against 52% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
W
Molly Albright / Luz Zanavich
2025-10-25 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Shelley Hutley
0.008about as expected — took 50% of games against 55% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
Kay Hallmark / Priscilla Connolly
2025-10-05 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Chana Dolbey
0.013about as expected — took 48% of games against 52% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
L
2025-09-28 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Chana Dolbey
0.032below expectation — took 20% of games against 40% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
2025-09-27 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Chana Dolbey
+0.027better than expected — took 71% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2025-09-13 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Shelley Hutley
+0.002about as expected — took 33% of games against 37% expected
6-3
L
Lisa Johnston-Smith / Lorri Asder
2025-03-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kat Perlmutter
0.039below expectation — took 33% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Kelly Letourneau / Marcy Patton
2025-03-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Chana Dolbey
+0.009about as expected — took 59% of games against 54% expected
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
W
Lindsay Jenkins / Amy Westom
2025-02-02 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alena Ofuasia
+0.005better than expected — took 71% of games against 63% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Misug Kim / Julie McDevitt
2025-01-11 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alisa Rakoz
0.004about as expected — took 63% of games against 62% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2024-11-24 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Jaime Venezia
+0.007better than expected — took 92% of games against 75% expected
6-0, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.