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Alex McIntosh

Portland, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
161 matches · 86W–75L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.38
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
93%
stay 3.5
7%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.33. Lower than today’s 3.38 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.5
89 of 399
OR · 3.5
178 of 735

Alex is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams37 teams · 2016–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Alex has been a steady 3.5 across all 8 seasons on record.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Alex has gone from the 33rd to the 80th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
55.9%
38W–30L · 53.5% of games
4.0
22.2%
2W–7L · 41% of games
6.0mixed
60%
3W–2L · 58.3% of games
7.0mixed
63.3%
31W–18L · 54.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history161 matches
L
2026-06-28 · PTC-Tait/Bowie · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Nora Gray
+0.000about as expected — took 38% of games against 41% expected
6-2, 7-6
W
Kyle Pierce
2026-06-14 · LOTC-Rice-Stitt · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.067better than expected — took 60% of games against 34% expected
6-1, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-05-30 · LOTC-Rice-Stitt · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.015better than expected — took 45% of games against 40% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-05-29 · LOTC-Rice-Stitt · #1 Doubles · with Lisa Hockman
+0.031better than expected — took 75% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2026-05-24 · THPRD-Hockman/Takahashi · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Tomoko Hori
+0.000about as expected — took 59% of games against 57% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-05-10 · LOTC-Rice-Stitt · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Peter Johnson
+0.027better than expected — took 35% of games against 30% expected
6-1, 7-6
L
2026-05-03 · LOTC-Rice-Stitt · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Peter Johnson
+0.001about as expected — took 41% of games against 42% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-04-25 · LOTC-Rice-Stitt · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.033about as expected — took 20% of games against 18% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
2026-04-24 · THPRD-Hockman/Takahashi · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Tomoko Hori
+0.000about as expected — took 59% of games against 58% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
2026-04-18 · THPRD-Hockman/Takahashi · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Nicole Norby
+0.000better than expected — took 46% of games against 38% expected
7-6, 7-6
W
2026-03-22 · THPRD-Hockman/Takahashi · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Xiaolu Huang
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-03-07 · THPRD-Flores/Yuan · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.003below expectation — took 33% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 6-2
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.