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Lucia Parker

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
85 matches · 50W–35L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.08
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 29 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
16%
stay 3.0
84%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 61% stay · 39% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.98. Lower than today’s 3.08 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
43 of 357
OR · 3.0
74 of 600

Lucia is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams20 teams · 2020–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lucia has been 3.0 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Lucia has gone from the 17th to the 68th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
61.1%
22W–14L · 55.9% of games
3.5
22.2%
2W–7L · 36.6% of games
6.0
100%
10W–0L · 79.6% of games
7.0
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
25%
3W–9L · 43.4% of games
7.0mixed
1W–0L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history85 matches
W
2026-06-28 · IRV-Kuerbis/Norling · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Adam Gamboa
+0.000about as expected — took 62% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 7-6
W
2026-06-19 · #3 Doubles · with Sarah Sasek
+0.012better than expected — took 65% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 7-5
W
2026-06-14 · IRV-Morris · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Allison Ferre
+0.001about as expected — took 59% of games against 58% expected
7-5, 6-4
W
2026-06-13 · Marr/Malama · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kelley Malama
0.039below expectation — took 57% of games against 69% expected
7-6, 6-4
L
Marianne McIntosh / Anne Gaggini
2026-06-07 · IRV-Morris · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Amy Marr
0.027below expectation — took 48% of games against 58% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
Gretchen Hall / Jane King Ayers
2026-05-30 · ET-Tanca · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Laurel Hallock Koppelman
0.027below expectation — took 29% of games against 45% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Joanna Asia Wagner / Shannon Davis
2026-05-24 · IRV-Morris · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kristin Morris
+0.015better than expected — took 57% of games against 50% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-05-17 · ET-Tanca · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Rebecca Dwiggins
0.024below expectation — took 29% of games against 43% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2026-05-09 · ET-Tanca · #2 Singles · 3.5
0.034below expectation — took 33% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2026-05-01 · ET-Tanca · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Laurel Hallock Koppelman
+0.049better than expected — took 45% of games against 32% expected
1-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
Melinda Magaddino / Milenka Coltman
2026-04-26 · IRV-Morris · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kristin DuVal
+0.039better than expected — took 92% of games against 65% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-04-11 · IRV-Townsend/Laidley · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Fred Kowell
+0.000below expectation — took 37% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.