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Sarah Vogel

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
173 matches · 68W–105L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.08
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 12 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
17%
stay 3.0
83%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 63% stay · 37% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.97. Lower than today’s 3.08 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
33 of 144
WA · 3.0
132 of 755

Sarah is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sarah has been 3.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Sarah has gone from the 15th to the 61st percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
40.2%
39W–58L · 47% of games
3.5
29.4%
5W–12L · 41.9% of games
7.0
75%
3W–1L · 66.7% of games
6.0mixed
25%
6W–18L · 37.6% of games
7.0mixed
50%
14W–14L · 50.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history173 matches
W
2026-06-28 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Peter Gregory
+0.000about as expected — took 52% of games against 52% expected
6-7, 7-6, 1-0
L
Anton Piskunov / Lainie Dicksonmixed
2026-06-27 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Peter Gregory
+0.000below expectation — took 29% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-06-19 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steven Nguyen
+0.000below expectation — took 50% of games against 57% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steven Nguyen
+0.000about as expected — took 62% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
Sarah Smith / Christa Lum
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Charity Ombao
+0.045better than expected — took 54% of games against 35% expected
3-6, 3-1
L
Jolanta Grigsby / Bianca Marcu
2026-05-24 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Melanie Fix
−0.043below expectation — took 20% of games against 44% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Teresa Cueto / Rainie McLaughlin
2026-05-16 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Charity Ombao
+0.072better than expected — took 92% of games against 53% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
Lana Dunsmore / Rachel Wang
2026-02-01 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Arlene Flor
+0.100better than expected — took 92% of games against 42% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Alexis Wood / Molly Schmidt
2026-01-11 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kathy Schmid
−0.062below expectation — took 29% of games against 59% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
Victoria Szydlowski / Michael Yaumixed
2025-11-23 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Scott Combs
+0.000better than expected — took 80% of games against 50% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
2025-10-25 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Scott Combs
+0.000better than expected — took 53% of games against 41% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Elizabeth Sofranek / Bryan Liumixed
2025-10-04 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Youssef Shalaby
+0.000below expectation — took 29% of games against 38% expected
6-4, 6-1
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.