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Brian Kelly

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
92 matches · 57W–35L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.19
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
1%
stay 3.0
99%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 22% stay · 78% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.06. Lower than today’s 3.19 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
7 of 144
WA · 3.0
32 of 755

Brian is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Brian has been a steady 3.0 across all 8 seasons on record.

2.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Brian has gone from the 51st to the 28th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
68.2%
30W–14L · 60.6% of games
3.5
42.9%
6W–8L · 47.9% of games
7.0
50%
5W–5L · 47.9% of games
6.0mixed
85.7%
12W–2L · 60.2% of games
7.0mixed
0%
0W–5L · 28.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history92 matches
L
Troy Schell / Dan Kalish
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jeff Au-Yeung
−0.005about as expected — took 40% of games against 43% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Dennis Perez / Dinesh Mandalapu
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jeff Au-Yeung
+0.008better than expected — took 65% of games against 59% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
Russell Nickerson / Blaine Thompson
2026-04-10 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mark Knoll
−0.014below expectation — took 40% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Zhe Yang / Harry Dongchamps
2026-03-28 · #1 Doubles · with Jeff Au-Yeung
+0.002about as expected — took 65% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 7-5
W
Sai Muppa / Soma Burelachamps
2026-03-21 · #1 Doubles · with Jeff Au-Yeung
−0.023below expectation — took 52% of games against 62% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
Laurent Bellange / Forrest Carlson
2026-02-21 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jeremy Jones
+0.014better than expected — took 65% of games against 57% expected
7-6, 6-1
L
Garrett Fisher / Michael Callangan
2026-02-21 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Scott Curtis
−0.028below expectation — took 37% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Atsushi Yoshida / Tom Tameishi
2026-02-20 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jeff Au-Yeung
+0.054better than expected — took 75% of games against 47% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
David Weaver / Monte Swanson
2026-02-13 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jeremy Jones
+0.022better than expected — took 86% of games against 67% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
2026-01-23 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Matthew Metz
−0.009below expectation — took 32% of games against 39% expected
6-0, 7-6
W
Han Zhao / Ravi Subramanian
2026-01-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mike Cadelago
+0.018better than expected — took 52% of games against 45% expected
7-6, 4-4
L
Chris Chau / Ben Chia
2026-01-04 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nick DiMartino
+0.004below expectation — took 25% of games against 31% expected
6-1, 6-3
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.