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Michelle Doherty

Portland, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
50 matches · 27W–23L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.57
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
18%
down to 3.5
82%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 11% down · 89% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.60. Higher than today’s 3.57 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.0
218 of 266
OR · 4.0
399 of 498

Michelle is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams16 teams · 2019–2026
Summer Sets
2026 One Doubles · 4.0 Women
2026
MAC-Keljo/Pierce
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Women
2026
MAC-Hasle/Doherty
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Women
2025
MAC-Doherty/Hasle
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Women
2025
MAC-Doherty/Hasle
2024 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Women
2024
MAC-Doherty
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Women
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Michelle has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.02019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2019, 2021 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Michelle has gone from the 32nd to the 51st percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
3.5
61.5%
8W–5L · 56.3% of games
4.0
48.1%
13W–14L · 48.2% of games
4.5
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history50 matches
L
2026-07-23 · Summer Sets · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Courtney Pierce
0.040below expectation — took 29% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-07-03 · Summer Sets · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Darci Keljo
+0.008better than expected — took 75% of games against 65% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
2026-02-22 · MAC-Keljo/Pierce · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kim Hasle
+0.052better than expected — took 68% of games against 43% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
2026-02-15 · MAC-Keljo/Pierce · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Courtney Pierce
+0.021better than expected — took 60% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-01-18 · MAC-Keljo/Pierce · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Susan Torch
+0.009about as expected — took 41% of games against 39% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
2026-01-03 · MAC-Keljo/Pierce · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kim Hasle
0.003about as expected — took 38% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
2025-05-17 · MAC-Hasle/Doherty · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kim Hasle
0.064below expectation — took 25% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2025-04-06 · MAC-Hasle/Doherty · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kim Hasle
+0.036better than expected — took 65% of games against 47% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
2025-04-05 · MAC-Hasle/Doherty · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.002about as expected — took 35% of games against 38% expected
7-6, 6-1
W
2025-03-01 · MAC-Doherty/Hasle · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kim Hasle
+0.001about as expected — took 44% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 1-6, 1-0
L
2025-02-23 · MAC-Doherty/Hasle · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Clarice Brown
0.004below expectation — took 29% of games against 37% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2025-01-31 · MAC-Doherty/Hasle · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kim Hasle
+0.022better than expected — took 50% of games against 42% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.