← Search

Erin Lea

Seattle, WA
4.0A year-end 2025
112 matches · 63W–49L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.59
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 10 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
14%
down to 3.5
86%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 9% down · 91% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.61. Higher than today’s 3.59 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.0
135 of 186
WA · 4.0
584 of 782

Erin is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Erin has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 5 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Erin has gone from the 30th to the 40th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.5
74.1%
20W–7L · 59.3% of games
4.0
47.2%
25W–28L · 47.7% of games
4.5
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
57.9%
11W–8L · 53.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history112 matches
W
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tina L Garcia
−0.007about as expected — took 50% of games against 54% expected
7-5, 3-6, 1-0
L
Lisa Mckenny / Kate Beardslee
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Caroline Johnson
+0.023better than expected — took 48% of games against 38% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
W
2026-05-03 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Heather Seeley
+0.038better than expected — took 71% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Caroline Johnson
+0.011better than expected — took 65% of games against 58% expected
6-1, 7-6
L
2026-05-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Caroline Johnson
+0.004about as expected — took 50% of games against 47% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-04-17 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Courtney Williams
−0.002about as expected — took 35% of games against 39% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
2026-02-14 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Katie McReynolds
−0.030below expectation — took 29% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
Cat Zhang / Fiona Lo
2026-01-31 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sarah Robinson
+0.007about as expected — took 41% of games against 42% expected
0-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-01-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jeannie Trautmann
+0.006about as expected — took 48% of games against 45% expected
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-01-04 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sarah Robinson
+0.042better than expected — took 50% of games against 36% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2025-08-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sarah Robinson
−0.041below expectation — took 39% of games against 57% expected
7-5, 4-2
L
2025-08-04 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Julie Bouscaren
+0.029better than expected — took 50% of games against 38% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.