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Davinia Lyon

Salt Lake City, UT
3.0C year-end 2025
115 matches · 61W–54L · seasons 2023–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.14
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 12 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
4%
stay 3.0
96%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 40% stay · 60% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.02. Lower than today’s 3.14 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Salt Lake City · 3.0
7 of 29
UT · 3.0
22 of 109
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Davinia is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Davinia has been a steady 3.0 across all 4 seasons on record.

2.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Davinia has gone from the 51st to the 22nd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
64.2%
34W–19L · 56.6% of games
3.5
30.8%
8W–18L · 41.6% of games
6.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 58.3% of games
6.5mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
62.5%
5W–3L · 51.4% of games
7.5mixed
40%
2W–3L · 51.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history115 matches
W
2026-07-29 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyra Dunshee
−0.001about as expected — took 44% of games against 47% expected
0-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-07-15 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyra Dunshee
+0.010about as expected — took 50% of games against 47% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Melissa Holyoak
+0.030better than expected — took 59% of games against 45% expected
7-6, 6-3
L
Carolyn Cottle / Stacy Criddle
2026-07-08 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Diana Vogel
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 7-5
W
N/A
2026-07-06 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Diana Vogel
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-06-17 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyra Dunshee
+0.002about as expected — took 57% of games against 56% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
L
Tiffany Ashman / Sherston Faux
2026-04-29 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nicole Leatham
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 7-5
L
Julie Labrum / Mindi Paskins
2026-04-25 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Maria Pettit
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 7-5
L
Naomi Stroud-Peterson / Jessica Eckert
2026-03-14 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Candace Haroldsen
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
5-7, 5-4, 1-0
L
2026-02-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lauren Murphy
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 5-2
W
Yoko Walljasper / Rebecca England
2026-01-31 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lauren Murphy
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-01-24 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Betsy Ostrander
+0.008about as expected — took 60% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 3-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.