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Nathan Richardson

Pocatello, ID
3.5C year-end 2025
261 matches · 129W–132L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.52
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 36 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
39%
stay 3.5
61%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 80% stay · 20% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.43. Lower than today’s 3.52 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Pocatello · 3.5
3 of 26
ID · 3.5
70 of 289
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Nathan is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Nathan has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Nathan has gone from the 1st to the 91st percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level11 levels played
0.0
30.8%
8W–18L · 44.3% of games
3.0
63.2%
12W–7L · 57.2% of games
3.5
42.9%
18W–24L · 48.6% of games
4.0
40%
10W–15L · 46.1% of games
4.5
75%
3W–1L · 54.2% of games
5.5mixed
75%
3W–1L · 69.6% of games
6.0mixed
55.9%
19W–15L · 51.9% of games
6.5mixed
50%
9W–9L · 51.4% of games
7.0mixed
54.1%
20W–17L · 49.9% of games
7.5mixed
25%
2W–6L · 42.9% of games
8.0mixed
69.2%
9W–4L · 49.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history261 matches
W
2026-07-30 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Joshua Ellis
+0.031better than expected — took 63% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-07-30 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.013better than expected — took 71% of games against 61% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-07-29 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with David Brake
−0.002about as expected — took 38% of games against 41% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
2026-07-27 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Cory Robertson
+0.020better than expected — took 75% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-07-22 · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.015below expectation — took 14% of games against 21% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
2026-07-21 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.021below expectation — took 52% of games against 61% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-07-20 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Joshua Ellis
−0.063below expectation — took 20% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alin Suru
+0.024better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-07-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Michael Allen
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 5-7, 1-0
W
2026-06-30 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.006about as expected — took 63% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Pat Gates / Howard Hansen
2026-06-16 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bryce Batista
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-2
L
Caleb Roope / Alice Livesaychamps
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · with Sarah Davids
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.