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Michelle Johnson

Portland, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
184 matches · 82W–102L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.48
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 29 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
61%
stay 3.5
39%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 89% stay · 11% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.40. Lower than today’s 3.48 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.5
30 of 399
OR · 3.5
76 of 735

Michelle is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams41 teams · 2020–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Michelle has been 3.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

3.03.52020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Michelle has gone from the 8th to the 76th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.5
55.6%
45W–36L · 51.5% of games
4.0
17.2%
5W–24L · 35.9% of games
7.0
63.6%
14W–8L · 57.9% of games
8.0
25%
1W–3L · 33.8% of games
6.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 56.2% of games
7.0mixed
25%
5W–15L · 44.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history184 matches
L
2026-07-26 · Puffer Fish · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
+0.012better than expected — took 56% of games against 48% expected
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-07-19 · Puffer Fish · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
+0.002about as expected — took 60% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-07-17 · Puffer Fish · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
+0.017better than expected — took 53% of games against 44% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-07-16 · Puffer Fish · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
0.034below expectation — took 29% of games against 47% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-06-20 · #1 Doubles · with Miriam Habafy
+0.013better than expected — took 48% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-18 · Puffer Fish · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
+0.057better than expected — took 92% of games against 59% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
Annie Nguyen / Swathi Karlapati
2026-06-14 · PTC-Hill/Habafy · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
0.020below expectation — took 47% of games against 58% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-06-13 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #2 Singles · 4.0
0.001below expectation — took 29% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-05-24 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #2 Singles · 4.0
0.020below expectation — took 48% of games against 58% expected
2-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-05-08 · PTC-Hill/Habafy · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
0.003about as expected — took 57% of games against 58% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
W
Michaela Weller
2026-05-03 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.045better than expected — took 50% of games against 35% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-05-02 · PTC-Hill/Habafy · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Miriam Habafy
+0.018better than expected — took 67% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.