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Natalie Thompson

Seattle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
72 matches · 40W–32L · seasons 20212026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.18
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
1%
down to 3.0
99%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.5
207 of 256
WA · 3.5
927 of 1209

Natalie is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Natalie has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.5202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Natalie has gone from the 57th to the 20th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.0
65%
13W–7L · 60.3% of games
3.5
48.9%
23W–24L · 49.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history72 matches
W
Nicole Jarjour
2026-04-30 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.024better than expected — took 80% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2026-04-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Catherine Day
0.014below expectation — took 32% of games against 41% expected
6-0, 7-6
L
Mary Battison / Julie Blume
2026-02-06 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jean Bryant
0.027below expectation — took 37% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-01-18 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.022below expectation — took 38% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
Chrissy Bauer / Mingming Zhan
2026-01-10 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sarah Wilke
+0.007about as expected — took 38% of games against 38% expected
7-6, 6-2
L
Amy McCullough / Mari Moline
2026-01-03 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sarah Wilke
+0.019better than expected — took 45% of games against 39% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
L
2025-08-05 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lisa Hagan
+0.014below expectation — took 20% of games against 26% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Carlisle Quill / Tanya Vail
2025-06-20 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Tory Frol
+0.018better than expected — took 58% of games against 49% expected
7-5, 4-3
L
Katie Busby / Katrina Spade
2025-06-16 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Tory Frol
+0.002about as expected — took 46% of games against 45% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
2025-05-15 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sherri Johnson
0.008about as expected — took 47% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
L
2025-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sherri Johnson
0.033below expectation — took 35% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2025-04-03 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.010below expectation — took 29% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 6-1
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.