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Tian Li

Kirkland, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
152 matches · 102W–50L · seasons 2023–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.38
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 26 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
93%
stay 3.5
7%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.33. Lower than today’s 3.38 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Kirkland · 3.5
22 of 45
WA · 3.5
333 of 1209

Tian is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Tian has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.52023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Tian has gone from the 60th to the 45th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
2.5
75%
6W–2L · 66.9% of games
3.0
71.4%
25W–10L · 63% of games
3.5
62.1%
18W–11L · 56.2% of games
4.0
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
66.7%
16W–8L · 59.3% of games
7.0mixed
56.2%
9W–7L · 52.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history152 matches
L
Mei Yang / arvind Mallikarjunanmixed
2026-07-19 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Akiko Leeman
+0.000below expectation — took 29% of games against 46% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-07-10 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Akiko Leeman
+0.000about as expected — took 60% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
Katherine Crews / Rakesh Mallelamixed
2026-06-28 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Elnaz Ansari
+0.000better than expected — took 41% of games against 35% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Proshat Parsimoghadam
+0.000below expectation — took 47% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-06 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Clayton Chang
+0.043better than expected — took 75% of games against 52% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
Yura Kostiukevych / RICHARD TSUI
2026-06-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Timur Sadykov
+0.006about as expected — took 38% of games against 38% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Scott Lennard / Peter Claassen
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ryan Duffy
+0.021better than expected — took 75% of games against 61% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
2026-05-23 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Shantanu Khemani
−0.021below expectation — took 29% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
Pablo Bernal
2026-04-11 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.024better than expected — took 39% of games against 33% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
L
Bernardo Savitt / Nicholas Hoang
2026-03-29 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jason Buchanan
+0.043better than expected — took 37% of games against 26% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with David Zhao
−0.028below expectation — took 25% of games against 42% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
Kris Odegard
2026-03-01 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.003about as expected — took 50% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.