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Ali Waterman

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
44 matches · 20W–24L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.86
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 12 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
96%
stay 3.0
4%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.81. Lower than today’s 2.86 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
169 of 357
OR · 3.0
284 of 600

Ali is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ali has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.52023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Ali has gone from the 10th to the 3rd percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
28.6%
4W–10L · 38.8% of games
3.5
33.3%
3W–6L · 40.9% of games
6.0
75%
3W–1L · 52.9% of games
6.0mixed
66.7%
8W–4L · 59% of games
7.0mixed
25%
1W–3L · 48.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history44 matches
L
2026-06-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Paddy McShane
+0.008below expectation — took 25% of games against 30% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Michelle Coleman / Christine Steele Smith
2026-05-02 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Layla Gonzalez
0.005below expectation — took 25% of games against 34% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-04-19 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Andrea Sanchez
+0.009about as expected — took 35% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-04-12 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Layla Gonzalez
+0.001about as expected — took 42% of games against 43% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Rebe Colasurdo / Nathaniel Postmixed
2025-12-06 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Amartya Dutta
+0.000better than expected — took 50% of games against 39% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Amir Hanania / Sloane Klonskymixed
2025-11-16 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Patrick Burrell
+0.000about as expected — took 40% of games against 45% expected
5-7, 6-1, 1-0
W
2025-11-09 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Peter Farrelly
+0.000better than expected — took 48% of games against 36% expected
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
Lisa Johnston-Smith / Kenny Ristaumixed
2025-11-02 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Chris Lenn
+0.000below expectation — took 29% of games against 55% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
Qin Lian / Kai Linmixed
2025-11-01 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Evan Simons
+0.000better than expected — took 63% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2025-09-14 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Evan Simons
+0.000better than expected — took 86% of games against 69% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2025-09-13 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Rob Laing
+0.000better than expected — took 50% of games against 26% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
L
2025-09-06 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Amartya Dutta
+0.000below expectation — took 44% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.