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Christel McArthur

Brier, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
18 matches · 13W–5L · seasons 2025–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.52
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
42%
down to 2.5
58%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 25% down · 75% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.55. Higher than today’s 2.52 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Brier · 3.0
6 of 6
WA · 3.0
1671 of 1704
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Christel is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Christel has played at 3.0, 2.5 across 2 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.02.53.020252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
2.5
85.7%
6W–1L · 65.6% of games
6.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
3.0mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
5.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history18 matches
L
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Sean Mcarthur
+0.000below expectation — took 35% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-06-27 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Sean Mcarthur
+0.000below expectation — took 14% of games against 31% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
2025-11-22 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Mary Jordan
+0.035better than expected — took 65% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 6-2
W
Letitia Selk / Jennifer Coursen
2025-11-08 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Mary Turino
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
W
Santhosh Bomma / Tatyana Gordonmixed
2025-10-18 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sean Mcarthur
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-3
L
2025-10-18 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Mary Cropp
−0.014about as expected — took 53% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
W
2025-10-10 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Kim Carey
−0.035below expectation — took 63% of games against 71% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2025-10-04 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Mary Turino
+0.047better than expected — took 75% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
2025-09-28 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Kimberly Caponigro
−0.006about as expected — took 37% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2025-09-20 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Naomi Mora
+0.006better than expected — took 71% of games against 63% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
2025-09-13 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sean Mcarthur
+0.000below expectation — took 53% of games against 64% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Stephanie Park / Laurie Nelson
2025-09-13 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Kim Carey
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.