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John Bard

Kelso, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
48 matches · 24W–24L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.09
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
14%
down to 4.0
86%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 9% down · 91% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.11. Higher than today’s 4.09 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 4.5
192 of 364

John is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams65 teams · 2001–2026
CGM-McGirk
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2026
VTC-Krauel
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
VTC-Burns/Krauel
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
VTC-Burns
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2024
MV-Burns
2023 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2023
N OR-UP-Krauel
2023 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2023
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

John has been 4.5 for all 5 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.520192020202120222026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, John has gone from the 20th to the 33rd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
4.5
51.6%
16W–15L · 52.4% of games
8.0mixed
62.5%
5W–3L · 56.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history48 matches
L
Rey Sosa / Bryan Laing
2026-06-14 · CGM-McGirk · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Simon Waite
0.050below expectation — took 20% of games against 47% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Atom Fjeldsted / Michael Cheng
2026-06-13 · CGM-McGirk · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jonathan Haukaas
0.010below expectation — took 29% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-05-30 · CGM-McGirk · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Carson Hall
0.005better than expected — took 80% of games against 71% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
2026-05-02 · CGM-McGirk · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jonathan Haukaas
0.038below expectation — took 35% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
Tyrese Toomey / Lake Ihly
2026-04-26 · CGM-McGirk · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jonathan Haukaas
0.065below expectation — took 42% of games against 66% expected
7-5, 7-5
W
2026-04-18 · CGM-McGirk · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Francisco Rivera-Giusti
+0.003better than expected — took 80% of games against 69% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Thomas McGirk / Ryan Mitchellchamps
2022-09-17 · MV-Burns · #1 Doubles · with Toby Krauel
+0.022better than expected — took 54% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-7, 1-0
L
2022-09-17 · MV-Burns · #1 Doubles · with Toby Krauel
0.025below expectation — took 20% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2022-09-16 · MV-Burns · #1 Doubles · with Jordan Burns
+0.005about as expected — took 40% of games against 40% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2022-08-20 · MV-Burns · #1 Doubles · with Jordan Burns
0.067below expectation — took 14% of games against 50% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
2022-08-07 · Burns-Mint Valley · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jordan Burns
0.050below expectation — took 41% of games against 61% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
2022-08-06 · Burns-Mint Valley · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jordan Burns
0.010better than expected — took 80% of games against 73% expected
6-2, 6-1
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.