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Daniel Heck

Lake Oswego, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
45 matches · 12W–33L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.43
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
82%
stay 3.5
18%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.36. Lower than today’s 3.43 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Lake Oswego · 3.5
10 of 60
OR · 3.5
131 of 735

Daniel is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams35 teams · 2013–2026
SHC-Lumetta
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 3.5 Men
2026
N OR-SHC-Farrell
2026 Adult 55 & Over · 8.0 Men
2026
CV-Rancho Las Palmas/Dan Heck
2025 Usta Adult 55 & Over - CV · CV Men 8.0
2025
CV-Shadow Mountain/C Loseke
2025 Usta Adult 40 & Over - CV · CV Men 4.0
2025
SHC-Christensen
2025 Adult 55 & Over · 8.0 Men
2025
SHC-Farrell
2024 Adult 55 & Over · 8.0 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Daniel has played at 4.0, 3.5 across 4 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

3.03.54.02019202320252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Daniel has gone from the 19th to the 3rd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
4.0
18.8%
3W–13L · 40.1% of games
8.0
31.2%
5W–11L · 43.9% of games
7.0mixed
33.3%
3W–6L · 43% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history45 matches
L
2026-06-27 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · with Patrick Trank
+0.009about as expected — took 29% of games against 32% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Tim Qualls / Tom Timpermanchamps
2026-06-26 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · with Steve Fogg
+0.018better than expected — took 55% of games against 47% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-02-07 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Russ DeMoss
0.049below expectation — took 42% of games against 62% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-01-03 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Craig Hlady
0.037below expectation — took 33% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2025-11-15 · N OR-SHC-Farrell · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with John Major
0.030below expectation — took 20% of games against 39% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2025-09-07 · N OR-SHC-Farrell · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Mark Stephenson
0.028below expectation — took 37% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
Paul McCoy / Mark Mangold
2025-03-16 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with John Blake
+0.007about as expected — took 37% of games against 37% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
Gus Abbona / Thomas Turnbull
2025-02-26 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Craig Loseke
0.031below expectation — took 32% of games against 48% expected
6-1, 7-5
L
Yul Bongcaras / Martin Buitrago
2025-02-23 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bruce Benjamin
0.037below expectation — took 14% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
Martin Buitrago / Yul Bongcaras
2025-02-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bruce Benjamin
0.038below expectation — took 20% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Jason Hall / Paul McCoy
2025-01-22 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with William Hitselberger
0.025below expectation — took 37% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Jeff Mosier / Dale Brainard
2025-01-19 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sean McElderry
+0.016better than expected — took 59% of games against 51% expected
7-5, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.