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Absalom Alcaraz

Las Vegas, NV
3.0C year-end 2025
149 matches · 59W–90L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.10
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
11%
stay 3.0
89%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 54% stay · 46% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.99. Lower than today’s 3.10 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Las Vegas · 3.0
27 of 134
NV · 3.0
34 of 166

Absalom is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Absalom has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 2 down.

2.53.03.5201920202022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 7.0, Absalom has gone from the 12th to the 77th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
3.5
34.3%
24W–46L · 44.9% of games
4.0
0%
0W–4L · 33.8% of games
7.0
48.4%
30W–32L · 49.6% of games
8.0
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history149 matches
W
KRISTON QUALLS / Thomas Schinabeck
2026-05-15 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Erik Burn
+0.020better than expected — took 50% of games against 43% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Nigel White / Robert E Kinsey
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Erik Burn
+0.013better than expected — took 67% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-03-13 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Robert Roig
+0.006about as expected — took 48% of games against 44% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Thomas Schinabeck / Michael Dali
2025-11-14 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Robert Roig
+0.026better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2025-11-07 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Robert Roig
0.018below expectation — took 45% of games against 55% expected
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
James Mcclary / Thomas Schinabeck
2025-10-17 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Robert Roig
0.037below expectation — took 29% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Robert Kinas / Daniel Pursel
2025-10-10 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Brent Muir
0.035below expectation — took 60% of games against 70% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
N/A
2025-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Michael Blonsky
+0.045better than expected — took 100% of games against 67% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
William Feast / Michael Miller
2025-05-16 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jeremy Christensen
+0.025better than expected — took 71% of games against 56% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Michael Garvin / Samuel Gordon
2025-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Brent Muir
+0.007better than expected — took 80% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Thomas Waite / Nigel White
2025-03-21 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Scott Paull
+0.025better than expected — took 71% of games against 56% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
James Izeluk / Sandy Mann
2025-03-08 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Darin McKinney
+0.017better than expected — took 59% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 7-6
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.