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Paula Thompson

Eugene, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
202 matches · 125W–77L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.52
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 23 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
42%
stay 3.5
58%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 81% stay · 19% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.43. Lower than today’s 3.52 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Eugene · 3.5
2 of 8
OR · 3.5
55 of 735

Paula is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Paula has been 3.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Paula has gone from the 86th to the 82nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
3.5
71.9%
46W–18L · 59.4% of games
4.0
25%
2W–6L · 36.6% of games
7.0
72.2%
26W–10L · 56.7% of games
8.0
40%
2W–3L · 48.4% of games
6.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
65%
26W–14L · 52.7% of games
8.0mixed
42.9%
6W–8L · 52.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history202 matches
L
Mark Bulgin / Stephenie Tuckermixed
2026-07-24 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Stacy Chance
+0.000below expectation — took 35% of games against 51% expected
7-5, 6-2
W
Herky Gottfried / Melissa Pohlmixed
2026-07-24 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Stacy Chance
+0.000about as expected — took 58% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
Susan Humphrey / Ray Chioumixed
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Mike Wolfe
+0.000below expectation — took 50% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
W
Robert Stevens / Janet Lui-Hansenmixed
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Dan Fischer
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Steve Lindsay / Christina Godatmixed
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Dan Fischer
+0.000better than expected — took 72% of games against 46% expected
6-0, 7-5
W
Cristina Ford / Andrew Selskymixed
2026-05-29 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Mike Wolfe
+0.000better than expected — took 65% of games against 54% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
Christina Godat / Steve Lindsaymixed
2026-05-29 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Donald Fowler
+0.000below expectation — took 35% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
Stephenie Tucker / Maggie Hudson
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Cathleen Karcher
0.022below expectation — took 55% of games against 60% expected
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
W
Allison Walkingshaw / Victoria Milburn
2026-05-09 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Christina Spencer
+0.012about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
W
Asa Wattschamps
2026-05-03 · #1 Singles
0.019about as expected — took 65% of games against 67% expected
4-6, 6-0, 1-0
W
Sarah Wuepper
2026-05-02 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.008better than expected — took 86% of games against 71% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
Elizabeth Smith / Yen Nguyen
2026-05-01 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Karen Bodeen
+0.033better than expected — took 86% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-0
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