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Alvin Sato

Lynnwood, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
126 matches · 58W–68L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.30
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 25 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
99%
stay 3.5
1%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Lynnwood · 3.5
8 of 9
WA · 3.5
556 of 1209

Alvin is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Alvin has been a steady 3.5 across all 5 seasons on record.

3.03.520202021202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Alvin has gone from the 34th to the 35th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.5
45%
18W–22L · 48% of games
4.0
25%
1W–3L · 54.8% of games
7.0
54.7%
29W–24L · 50.1% of games
8.0
35.7%
5W–9L · 45.2% of games
7.0mixed
30.8%
4W–9L · 41.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history126 matches
L
William Chapman / Mark Sinkeychamps
2026-06-18 · #2 Doubles · with Stuart Cobb
+0.008better than expected — took 53% of games against 48% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-06-16 · #2 Doubles · with Frank Weathers
+0.010about as expected — took 50% of games against 47% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Warren Yasutake / Robert Coe
2026-06-04 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steve Eggerman
0.014about as expected — took 53% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bhupinder Cherra
0.010about as expected — took 50% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
W
Bill Do / Jonathan Brown
2026-05-24 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bhupinder Cherra
0.002about as expected — took 55% of games against 56% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
Akram Hussein / Jiaofeng Xu
2026-05-16 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bhupinder Cherra
+0.001about as expected — took 47% of games against 49% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Kevin Kim / Renxuan Wang
2026-05-09 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sathiya Maripitchai
+0.006about as expected — took 29% of games against 33% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Jon Woodbrook / Craig Lundgren
2026-05-08 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Stuart Cobb
+0.003about as expected — took 60% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-05-02 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bhupinder Cherra
0.008about as expected — took 56% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 0-6, 1-0
W
Colin Bronemann / Chris Lloyd
2026-04-21 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steve Eggerman
+0.050better than expected — took 75% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Allen Wu / Shuling Tang
2026-04-19 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Matthew Rust
0.012below expectation — took 40% of games against 46% expected
5-7, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-04-11 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sathiya Maripitchai
0.002about as expected — took 37% of games against 40% expected
6-3, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.