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Heather McKay

Bellevue, WA
4.0C year-end 2024
83 matches · 33W–50L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.58
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
17%
down to 3.5
83%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 11% down · 89% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.60. Higher than today’s 3.58 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bellevue · 4.0
62 of 76
WA · 4.0
603 of 782

Heather is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Heather has been 4.0 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.54.02019202020212022202320242026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Heather has gone from the 65th to the 16th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
40%
22W–33L · 48.6% of games
7.0mixed
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
44.4%
8W–10L · 47.8% of games
9.0mixed
40%
2W–3L · 47.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history83 matches
L
2026-07-23 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kimberly Skorupa
0.089below expectation — took 0% of games against 48% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Sarah Chamberlain / Kate Oost
2026-06-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Allyson Marks
0.012below expectation — took 35% of games against 43% expected
6-2, 7-5
W
2026-05-22 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Maggie Xu
+0.011about as expected — took 52% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-01 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Linda Baker
0.078below expectation — took 33% of games against 65% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
Carla Breton / Kate Slott
2026-03-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Allyson Marks
+0.007about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
7-6, 5-7, 1-0
L
Megan Tulloch / Carole Huntley
2026-02-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Allyson Marks
0.009about as expected — took 40% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2026-01-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alice Santos
0.006about as expected — took 65% of games against 63% expected
4-6, 6-0, 1-0
L
Rene Noeun / Grace Lee
2024-08-11 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Judy Greenstein
+0.035better than expected — took 47% of games against 34% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2024-08-03 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kimberly Skorupa
0.056below expectation — took 20% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-0
L
2024-06-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Joanna Bengford
0.030below expectation — took 29% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2024-05-19 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lorraine Wong
0.009below expectation — took 40% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Eda Rousselet / Marie Allman
2024-03-03 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Leslie Ellis
+0.037better than expected — took 65% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 7-6
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.