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Jeff McKatims

Bothell, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
48 matches · 21W–27L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.11
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
9%
down to 4.0
91%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 6% down · 94% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.12. Higher than today’s 4.11 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 4.5
163 of 364

Jeff is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jeff has been 4.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021, 2023 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Jeff has gone from the 26th to the 50th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.5
45%
18W–22L · 49.3% of games
8.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 46.2% of games
9.0mixed
25%
1W–3L · 39.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history48 matches
W
2026-05-31 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Thorrington
+0.025better than expected — took 68% of games against 55% expected
7-6, 6-0
W
Nicholas Aguirre / Justin Low
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Thorrington
0.004about as expected — took 60% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Rodolfo Baba / Benjamin Chen
2026-05-16 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Thorrington
0.035below expectation — took 59% of games against 69% expected
7-6, 6-3
W
2026-05-02 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brandon Feldman
0.008about as expected — took 54% of games against 57% expected
7-5, 6-7, 1-0
W
Eric Yu / David Li
2026-04-17 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brandon Feldman
+0.036better than expected — took 71% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-03-08 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with PJ Kwon
0.003about as expected — took 47% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
L
Michael Fleming / Curran Hagstrom
2026-02-07 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with PJ Kwon
0.013below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-02-01 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gavin Landon
0.067below expectation — took 43% of games against 67% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
Harold Abell / Michael Fleming
2026-01-25 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jeffrey Abram
0.026below expectation — took 14% of games against 35% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
Yutaro Maki / Percy Pan
2025-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Peilun Shan
0.010about as expected — took 60% of games against 62% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
Charlie Williams / Eric Hagen
2025-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Peilun Shan
+0.001about as expected — took 41% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
2025-04-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Peilun Shan
+0.029better than expected — took 63% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.