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Joseph Holmes

Bellevue, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
60 matches · 35W–25L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.99
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 20 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
55%
stay 3.0
45%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 87% stay · 13% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.91. Lower than today’s 2.99 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bellevue · 3.0
32 of 137
WA · 3.0
390 of 1529

Joseph is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Joseph has been 3.0 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.0201920202023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2019, 2023 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Joseph has gone from the 24th to the 80th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
58.1%
18W–13L · 54.4% of games
3.5
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
6.0
25%
1W–3L · 44.8% of games
6.0mixed
75%
15W–5L · 58.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history60 matches
W
2026-07-05 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Carrie Holmes
+0.000about as expected — took 54% of games against 59% expected
7-6, 7-6
L
Simon Zhang / Zhengyang Dengchamps
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · with Joseph Lee
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-1
W
Dan Feng / Anton Kirilovchamps
2026-06-14 · #2 Doubles · with Stephen Waltar
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Jiahe Qing / Ziwei Liu
2026-06-06 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Stephen Waltar
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
W
Donald Gerard / Sidharth Panicker
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Stephen Waltar
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-1
W
Stanley Cernosek / William Kennelly
2026-05-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Chase Costello
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
Mark Lewin / Cat Zimmermann
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Matthew Klutznick
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-1
W
Abhishek Goswami / John Raffetto
2026-05-10 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Joseph Lee
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-0
W
Albert Vanderhoeven / Chandran Neminathan
2026-04-12 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Stephen Waltar
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-02-28 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with David Hasbrook
0.037below expectation — took 40% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Jeff Trager / Kit Merker
2026-02-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jared Oren
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Mikel Morrow / Amit Kejriwal
2026-02-15 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jared Oren
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 4-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.