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Carroll Welch

Las Vegas, NV
3.5C year-end 2025
335 matches · 191W–144L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.09
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
12%
down to 3.0
88%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 8% down · 92% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.11. Higher than today’s 3.09 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Las Vegas · 3.5
125 of 139
NV · 3.5
208 of 228

Carroll is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Carroll has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Carroll has gone from the 13th to the 22nd percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level8 levels played
3.0
71.9%
69W–27L · 59.3% of games
3.5
44.5%
65W–81L · 48.5% of games
6.0
81.8%
9W–2L · 55.9% of games
7.0
66.7%
20W–10L · 53.5% of games
6.0mixed
18.2%
2W–9L · 34.4% of games
6.5mixed
80%
4W–1L · 55.8% of games
7.0mixed
64.3%
9W–5L · 55.3% of games
8.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history335 matches
L
Timora Cereghino / Michelle Beckwith
2026-06-04 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Donna Lefever
0.021below expectation — took 37% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2026-05-21 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Andi Berger
+0.037better than expected — took 59% of games against 43% expected
7-6, 6-3
L
Claudia Hernandez / Diane Paull
2026-05-20 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Andi Berger
0.071below expectation — took 0% of games against 41% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Hong Lee
0.037below expectation — took 38% of games against 55% expected
6-7, 6-1, 1-0
W
2026-04-23 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Donna Lefever
+0.033better than expected — took 55% of games against 42% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-04-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Tina Shirey
+0.017better than expected — took 71% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Jennifer Miller / Rebecca Miller
2026-04-15 · #4 Doubles · 3.5 · with Andi Berger
0.000about as expected — took 57% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
2026-04-11 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Andi Berger
0.017below expectation — took 46% of games against 53% expected
7-6, 7-6
W
2026-04-09 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Andi Berger
+0.008about as expected — took 47% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
W
2026-04-08 · #4 Doubles · 3.5 · with Donna Lefever
+0.023better than expected — took 58% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 7-5
L
Seda Sargsyan
2026-03-28 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.029about as expected — took 8% of games against 11% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2026-03-25 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jamie Feller
0.017below expectation — took 28% of games against 40% expected
7-5, 6-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.