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Matthew McCormick

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
77 matches · 20W–57L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.92
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 4 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
84%
stay 3.0
16%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.86. Lower than today’s 2.92 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
89 of 144
WA · 3.0
390 of 755

Matthew is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matthew has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

2.53.03.52019202020212022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2025 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Matthew has gone from the 46th to the 9th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2023.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
32.5%
13W–27L · 45.7% of games
3.5
0%
0W–6L · 34.6% of games
6.0
75%
3W–1L · 71.4% of games
7.0
23.1%
3W–10L · 34.1% of games
6.0mixed
9.1%
1W–10L · 32.3% of games
7.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history77 matches
L
Brian Nelson / Rich Schlachter
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Mike Rasanen
0.014below expectation — took 41% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 7-6
W
N/A
2026-06-02 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Scott Abraham
+0.064better than expected — took 100% of games against 61% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
David Holley / Michael Evans
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Scott Abraham
+0.022better than expected — took 71% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
N/A
2026-04-28 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with James Roma
+0.069better than expected — took 100% of games against 59% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2025-01-26 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kim Gould
0.011below expectation — took 29% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Rick Almquist / Sai Muppa
2025-01-19 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Dave Nurme
+0.033better than expected — took 57% of games against 43% expected
7-6, 5-3
L
Jeremy Maschman / William Kennelly
2025-01-04 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Dave Nurme
0.010about as expected — took 45% of games against 49% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
Tim Smith / Scott Lennard
2024-03-02 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with John Busby
+0.049better than expected — took 52% of games against 33% expected
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
Sean McCarron / Michael Beals
2024-01-13 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kim Gould
+0.010about as expected — took 47% of games against 45% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2024-01-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with John Busby
+0.015better than expected — took 48% of games against 41% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
2024-01-06 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ravi Subramanian
0.004about as expected — took 37% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Alina Bibireata / Claudiu Bulaimixed
2023-11-25 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Amy Morse
+0.000below expectation — took 53% of games against 64% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.