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Brian Hefele

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
65 matches · 36W–29L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.88
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
93%
stay 3.0
7%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.83. Lower than today’s 2.88 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
145 of 357
OR · 3.0
246 of 600

Brian is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams26 teams · 2017–2026
THPRD-Stevenson
2026 Adult 55 & Over · 6.0 Men
2026
PNW/Stevenson/55&O/6.0X
2025 Mixed 55 & Over · 6.0 Mixed
2025
MAC-Stevenson
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2025
N OR-THPRD-Stevenson
2025 Adult 55 & Over · 6.0 Men
2025
N OR-MAC-Stevenson
2024 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2024
MAC-Stevenson
2023 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Men
2023
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Brian has been 3.0 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.0201920202022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2022 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Brian has gone from the 53rd to the 13th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
53.6%
15W–13L · 49.9% of games
3.5
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0
61.5%
8W–5L · 58.3% of games
6.0mixed
90%
9W–1L · 58% of games
7.0mixed
11.1%
1W–8L · 38.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history65 matches
W
2025-11-15 · THPRD-Stevenson · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Paul Garrahan
0.002better than expected — took 80% of games against 70% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
2025-10-17 · THPRD-Stevenson · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Paul Garrahan
0.016about as expected — took 68% of games against 69% expected
6-1, 7-5
L
2025-10-05 · THPRD-Stevenson · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Brian Chenoweth
0.022below expectation — took 37% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Joe Steilen / Chris Sbarbarochamps
2025-06-22 · MAC-Stevenson · #2 Doubles · with Paul Garrahan
0.000about as expected — took 45% of games against 48% expected
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2025-06-21 · MAC-Stevenson · #2 Doubles · with Michael McNulty
+0.086better than expected — took 80% of games against 39% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Michael Osthus / Roger Hebertchamps
2025-06-20 · MAC-Stevenson · #1 Doubles · with Paul Garrahan
+0.013better than expected — took 68% of games against 59% expected
7-5, 6-1
L
2025-05-31 · MAC-Stevenson · #3 Doubles · with Melinda Magaddino
0.031below expectation — took 14% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
2025-05-16 · PNW/Stevenson/55&O/6.0X · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Jennifer Bayless
+0.000about as expected — took 67% of games against 64% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
Abhisar Gupta / Kevin Segal
2025-02-08 · MAC-Stevenson · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Joel Naumoff
0.052below expectation — took 29% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2025-01-18 · MAC-Stevenson · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kip Stevenson
0.019below expectation — took 8% of games against 29% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2025-01-11 · MAC-Stevenson · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Paul Garrahan
+0.024better than expected — took 71% of games against 56% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
2025-01-04 · MAC-Stevenson · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.018below expectation — took 29% of games against 41% expected
6-1, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.