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Lacy Fehrenbach

Olympia, WA
3.0C year-end 2024
148 matches · 86W–62L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.99
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 29 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
56%
stay 3.0
44%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 87% stay · 13% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.91. Lower than today’s 2.99 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Olympia · 3.0
12 of 41
WA · 3.0
274 of 755

Lacy is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lacy has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 5 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.020192022202320242026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Lacy has gone from the 54th to the 74th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
2.5
50%
3W–3L · 48.7% of games
3.0
65.1%
71W–38L · 56.6% of games
3.5
40%
8W–12L · 45.1% of games
6.0mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history148 matches
L
2026-07-19 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Brianna Arboine
+0.010about as expected — took 29% of games against 32% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Holly Brazel
−0.018below expectation — took 33% of games against 44% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-07-11 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Michael Heelan
+0.000about as expected — took 29% of games against 31% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Ellen Chappelka / Lauren Kennard
2026-06-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Marny Howell
−0.024below expectation — took 53% of games against 62% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-06-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Devyn Nemeth
+0.004about as expected — took 55% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
Cheryl Wald
2026-05-31 · #2 Singles · 3.0
−0.016about as expected — took 80% of games against 75% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
Vito Desantis / Michele Jaegermixed
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with George Ramirez
+0.000about as expected — took 45% of games against 48% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-05-29 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.025about as expected — took 29% of games against 28% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-05-17 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.029better than expected — took 75% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
N/A
2026-05-16 · #2 Singles · 3.0
+0.055better than expected — took 100% of games against 64% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-05-10 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Julie Peters
+0.049better than expected — took 75% of games against 49% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
2026-05-09 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nancy Koeppen
−0.025below expectation — took 20% of games against 38% expected
6-0, 6-3
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.