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Elisabeth Newkirk

Redmond, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
190 matches · 126W–64L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.44
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
77%
stay 3.5
23%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 94% stay · 6% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.37. Lower than today’s 3.44 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Redmond · 3.5
10 of 43
WA · 3.5
189 of 1209

Elisabeth is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Elisabeth has played at 2.5, 3.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 2 moves up and 0 down.

2.02.53.03.52020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Elisabeth has gone from the 24th to the 46th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level10 levels played
2.5
94.7%
18W–1L · 68.6% of games
3.0
74.4%
29W–10L · 62.2% of games
3.5
46.9%
15W–17L · 51.6% of games
4.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0
70%
7W–3L · 57.1% of games
7.0
60%
9W–6L · 56.8% of games
8.0
50%
2W–2L · 54.5% of games
6.0mixed
80%
12W–3L · 61.2% of games
7.0mixed
72%
18W–7L · 57% of games
8.0mixed
25%
1W–3L · 35.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history190 matches
L
2026-05-29 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tara James
0.036below expectation — took 29% of games against 48% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lisa O'Brochta
+0.008about as expected — took 58% of games against 54% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Ingrid Foster / Amy Haagchamps
2026-03-20 · #1 Doubles · with Laura Young
0.033below expectation — took 35% of games against 51% expected
6-1, 7-6
W
2026-03-01 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Laura Young
+0.050better than expected — took 75% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Laura Karassik / Susan Williams
2026-02-21 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mingming Zhan
+0.021better than expected — took 92% of games against 70% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-02-06 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Priyanka Joshi
+0.005better than expected — took 71% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Kristin Gresham / Jennifer Kinkade
2026-02-01 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Laura Young
+0.062better than expected — took 92% of games against 57% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Calvey Khim / Jasmine Wijayachamps
2025-12-11 · #3 Doubles · with Joe van Zyl
+0.019better than expected — took 41% of games against 36% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
2025-11-15 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Cynthia Kim
0.011about as expected — took 50% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
L
2025-11-08 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Lynn Casey
+0.034better than expected — took 56% of games against 39% expected
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2025-11-08 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Teresa Morrow
0.015below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
Matt Topping / Anne Salvinomixed
2025-11-02 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Joe van Zyl
+0.000better than expected — took 80% of games against 55% expected
6-2, 6-1
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