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Alexandria Chang

Las Vegas, NV
3.0C year-end 2025
206 matches · 117W–89L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.05
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
25%
stay 3.0
75%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 70% stay · 30% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.96. Lower than today’s 3.05 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Las Vegas · 3.0
36 of 134
NV · 3.0
45 of 166

Alexandria is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Alexandria has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.02020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Alexandria has gone from the 7th to the 61st percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
2.5
71.1%
59W–24L · 61.5% of games
3.0
50%
36W–36L · 50.2% of games
3.5
50%
5W–5L · 48.1% of games
5.5mixed
36.4%
4W–7L · 39.5% of games
6.0mixed
62.5%
5W–3L · 51.8% of games
6.5mixed
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 64.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history206 matches
W
2026-07-22 · #3 Female Doubles · 3.5 · with Julie Brown
+0.040better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
Brandon Terwilliger / Mayela Moneo
2026-07-15 · #3 Female Doubles · 3.5 · with Kim Springer
+0.031better than expected — took 80% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-07-14 · #2 Doubles · 6.5 · with Dan Michalski
+0.000better than expected — took 57% of games against 50% expected
7-6, 1-6, 1-0
L
Tony Auston / Ashley Bryngelsonchamps
2026-07-11 · #3 Doubles · with Michael Bauwens
0.019below expectation — took 43% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
L
Jenna DeLong / Nguyen Thaichamps
2026-07-10 · #3 Doubles · with Nabil Nassri
0.045below expectation — took 25% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Maryna Post / Olga Bencini
2026-06-06 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ara Lee Stimson
+0.024better than expected — took 62% of games against 50% expected
7-5, 6-3
L
Shiniqual Washington
2026-05-30 · #2 Singles · 3.0
0.064below expectation — took 29% of games against 59% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
Joseph Engle / Kristin Stowechamps
2026-05-29 · #1 Doubles · with Matthew Murillo
0.021below expectation — took 50% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
L
Anne Gumm / Maria Allen
2026-05-23 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kelly Nguyen
+0.034about as expected — took 14% of games against 14% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kristyl Addison
0.006about as expected — took 71% of games against 67% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
Maggie Pacholuk / Jaqueline Schultz
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Melissa Hicks
0.042below expectation — took 29% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
Tanya Hale / Travis Azous
2026-05-02 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lisa Schnitz
+0.012about as expected — took 28% of games against 31% expected
6-0, 7-5
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