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Caroline Davidson

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
56 matches · 22W–34L · seasons 20222026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.98
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
62%
stay 3.0
38%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 89% stay · 11% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.90. Lower than today’s 2.98 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
94 of 357
OR · 3.0
155 of 600

Caroline is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams14 teams · 2022–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Caroline has been 3.0 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

2.53.02022202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2022 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Caroline has gone from the 27th to the 73rd percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
2.5
62.5%
5W–3L · 59.6% of games
3.0
37.1%
13W–22L · 46.2% of games
6.0mixed
27.3%
3W–8L · 42.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history56 matches
L
2026-07-24 · WHRC-Palmer/Bennett · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Reno Brown
+0.000better than expected — took 57% of games against 37% expected
7-6, 1-6, 1-0
W
Hiroe Felix / Zak Kaplamixed
2026-07-18 · WHRC-Palmer/Bennett · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Reno Brown
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-07-16 · All the Singles Ladies · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lori Peterson
+0.034better than expected — took 50% of games against 36% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-06-25 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.003about as expected — took 39% of games against 40% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-06-21 · NOR-WHRC-Nordstrom · #1 Singles
0.013below expectation — took 29% of games against 39% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Crystal Ounaphom / Lauren Kimmel
2026-05-02 · NOR-WHRC-Nordstrom · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Betty Koon
0.007about as expected — took 59% of games against 60% expected
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
W
Diane Zhitlovsky
2026-04-15 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.055better than expected — took 100% of games against 64% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-04-10 · NOR-WHRC-Nordstrom · #3 Doubles · with Betty Koon
+0.020better than expected — took 55% of games against 47% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Rupali Avasare / Samina Panwhar
2026-04-05 · NOR-WHRC-Nordstrom · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Betty Koon
+0.034better than expected — took 80% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
2026-04-01 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.002about as expected — took 50% of games against 50% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Vanessa Gebbie
2026-03-26 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.015better than expected — took 71% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Sally Chen / Tomoko Langworthy
2026-03-14 · WHRC-Peterson · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Davidson
+0.041better than expected — took 68% of games against 48% expected
6-1, 7-5
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