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Alex Jones

Aurora, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
49 matches · 22W–27L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.27
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 28 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
0%
stay 3.0
100%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 7% stay · 93% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.12. Lower than today’s 3.27 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
OR · 3.0
11 of 600

Alex is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams10 teams · 2024–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Alex has been 3.0 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.0202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Alex has gone from the 16th to the 92nd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
50%
14W–14L · 54.2% of games
3.5
25%
1W–3L · 50.7% of games
7.0
57.1%
4W–3L · 54.1% of games
6.0mixed
0%
0W–5L · 37.4% of games
7.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history49 matches
W
2026-07-27 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
+0.038better than expected — took 75% of games against 54% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-07-21 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
0.035below expectation — took 47% of games against 60% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-07-20 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
+0.041better than expected — took 75% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2026-07-16 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
0.034below expectation — took 50% of games against 64% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-07-07 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
+0.047better than expected — took 86% of games against 58% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
2026-07-03 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
+0.006better than expected — took 71% of games against 63% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-07-02 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
0.051below expectation — took 56% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 0-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · with Lisa Young
+0.012about as expected — took 53% of games against 48% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-06-19 · Mandel · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Megan Mandel
+0.027better than expected — took 100% of games against 73% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-06-14 · SHC-Christensen · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Monica Christensen
+0.014better than expected — took 53% of games against 45% expected
1-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Julie Row / Abigail Taylor
2026-06-05 · SHC-Christensen · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lisa Young
+0.010about as expected — took 55% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
L
Ann Harrison
2026-05-02 · SHC-Christensen · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.025below expectation — took 39% of games against 51% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.