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Matthew Cinelli

Las Vegas, NV
3.0C year-end 2025
110 matches · 62W–48L · seasons 20222026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.13
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
5%
stay 3.0
95%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 41% stay · 59% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.02. Lower than today’s 3.13 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Las Vegas · 3.0
18 of 134
NV · 3.0
22 of 166

Matthew is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matthew has been 3.0 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.02022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Matthew has gone from the 41st to the 96th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
64.7%
33W–18L · 56.4% of games
3.5
75%
3W–1L · 60.9% of games
5.5mixed
60%
9W–6L · 52.7% of games
6.0mixed
40%
14W–21L · 46.5% of games
6.5mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history110 matches
L
Philip Lee / Lisa Gaughanmixed
2026-07-12 · #2 Doubles · 6.5 · with Mari Valvo
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 56% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
Brandynn Elwart / Lisa Gaughanmixed
2026-05-13 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Roslyn Katz
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
Margo Isler / Saiakshaj Paturumixed
2026-05-03 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Golssa Moridi
+0.000below expectation — took 33% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
Brandie Browning / Christopher Silversmithmixed
2026-04-12 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Maryam Kaveh
+0.000better than expected — took 52% of games against 34% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
L
George Baggott / Daniella Tomsmixed
2026-03-22 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Golssa Moridi
+0.000below expectation — took 39% of games against 44% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
Lisa Gaughan / John Gaughanmixed
2026-03-15 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Roslyn Katz
+0.000better than expected — took 56% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 1-6, 1-0
W
Joshua Connor / Jessica Martenchamps
2025-10-18 · #2 Doubles · with Roslyn Katz
0.040below expectation — took 47% of games against 64% expected
1-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Eric Schneider / Diana Lindermanchamps
2025-10-17 · #3 Doubles · with Roslyn Katz
+0.034better than expected — took 86% of games against 63% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Maribel Moore / Nicholas Hansenmixed
2025-08-24 · #3 Doubles · 5.5 · with Roslyn Katz
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Jennifer Roberts / Michael Savagemixed
2025-08-10 · #3 Doubles · 5.5 · with Yusria Malik
+0.000about as expected — took 53% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
L
Chris Boron / James Mcclary
2025-08-07 · #2 Male Doubles · 3.5 · with Nathaniel Bybee
+0.014about as expected — took 29% of games against 31% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
Kirk Stewart / Ariana Stewartmixed
2025-07-27 · #3 Doubles · 5.5 · with Roslyn Katz
+0.000better than expected — took 86% of games against 56% expected
6-0, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.