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Melissa Heckman

Gig Harbor, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
82 matches · 60W–22L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.48
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 55 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
59%
stay 3.5
41%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 89% stay · 11% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.40. Lower than today’s 3.48 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Gig Harbor · 3.5
1 of 14
WA · 3.5
111 of 1209

Melissa is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Melissa has been a steady 3.5 across all 2 seasons on record.

3.03.520252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Melissa has gone from the 65th to the 90th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
70.8%
34W–14L · 59.2% of games
4.0
57.1%
4W–3L · 55.7% of games
7.0mixed
85%
17W–3L · 61.5% of games
8.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history82 matches
L
2026-07-27 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wendy Clarke
0.030below expectation — took 41% of games against 54% expected
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
W
Jill Delaney / Kelley Hunter
2026-07-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wendy Clarke
+0.032better than expected — took 86% of games against 63% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
2026-07-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wendy Clarke
+0.016better than expected — took 75% of games against 62% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
Alicia Cole / John Rappmixed
2026-07-19 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Richard Triquart
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Jennifer Butler / Jeremy Pawloskimixed
2026-07-18 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Richard Triquart
+0.000better than expected — took 60% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Nicki Kristol / Maureen Milligan
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wendy Clarke
0.027below expectation — took 53% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
W
Clara Harig / Rachel Stevenson
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wendy Clarke
0.016about as expected — took 62% of games against 65% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Andrew Piston
+0.000about as expected — took 45% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
Julie Quesada / Danny Herbstmixed
2026-07-11 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Randy Litch
+0.000about as expected — took 75% of games against 76% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-06-23 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Randy Litch
+0.000below expectation — took 71% of games against 76% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-06-20 · #3 Doubles · with Wendy Clarke
+0.007better than expected — took 75% of games against 65% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
Tracy Luongchamps
2026-06-20 · #2 Singles
0.003about as expected — took 60% of games against 59% expected
6-4, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.