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Jennifer Cao

Portland, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
135 matches · 52W–83L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.92
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 23 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
85%
down to 4.0
15%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 59% down · 41% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.98. Higher than today’s 3.92 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.5
106 of 119
OR · 4.5
197 of 226

Jennifer is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams52 teams · 2011–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jennifer has been 4.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.52019202020212022202320252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Jennifer has gone from the 52nd to the 26th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
0.0
43.8%
14W–18L · 48% of games
4.5
41.7%
30W–42L · 49.8% of games
8.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.5
20%
1W–4L · 32.9% of games
8.0mixed
18.2%
2W–9L · 37.2% of games
9.0mixed
18.2%
2W–9L · 30.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history135 matches
L
2026-07-22 · Net Assets · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emily Hagelgans
0.009about as expected — took 40% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-07-19 · Net Assets · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Ellen Mader
0.031below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-07-18 · MPRC-Mendenhall/Palmer · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Gabriel Weaver
+0.000about as expected — took 41% of games against 44% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
2026-07-06 · Net Assets · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emily Hagelgans
0.017below expectation — took 14% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
2026-06-16 · Net Assets · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Ellen Mader
0.011about as expected — took 50% of games against 54% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-06-14 · Net Assets · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Ellen Mader
+0.035better than expected — took 75% of games against 56% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
2026-06-12 · WHRC-Donato/Lautenbach · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emily Hagelgans
0.020below expectation — took 44% of games against 53% expected
7-5, 7-6
L
2026-06-10 · Net Assets · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emily Hagelgans
+0.037better than expected — took 57% of games against 39% expected
1-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2026-05-23 · WHRC-Donato/Lautenbach · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Sue Gregoire
+0.019better than expected — took 71% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-05-17 · WHRC-Donato/Lautenbach · #2 Singles · 4.5
+0.014better than expected — took 58% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-05-09 · WHRC-Donato/Lautenbach · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Sue Gregoire
0.007about as expected — took 52% of games against 56% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-04-19 · WHRC-Donato/Lautenbach · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emily Hagelgans
0.042below expectation — took 25% of games against 48% expected
6-0, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.