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Sierra Wright

The Dalles, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
149 matches · 80W–69L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.05
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
28%
down to 4.0
72%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 16% down · 84% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.08. Higher than today’s 4.05 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
OR · 4.5
136 of 226

Sierra is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams59 teams · 2009–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sierra has been a steady 4.5 across all 8 seasons on record.

4.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Sierra has gone from the 59th to the 69th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
100%
11W–0L · 69.2% of games
4.5
55.8%
43W–34L · 51% of games
8.0mixed
66.7%
10W–5L · 53.4% of games
9.0mixed
31.2%
5W–11L · 42.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history149 matches
W
Emily Hagelgans / Jennifer Cao
2026-07-22 · Wright · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
+0.009about as expected — took 60% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-07-17 · Wright · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
0.033below expectation — took 25% of games against 44% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-07-13 · Wright · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
+0.040better than expected — took 67% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-06-24 · Wright · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
+0.012better than expected — took 68% of games against 59% expected
7-6, 6-0
L
2026-06-17 · Wright · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
+0.014about as expected — took 33% of games against 33% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-06-16 · Wright · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
+0.011about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-06-12 · LOTC-Taylor/Ferrer · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mary Bullard
+0.029better than expected — took 52% of games against 41% expected
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
W
N/A
2026-05-23 · LOTC-Taylor/Ferrer · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jennifer Tran
0.046about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-05-02 · LOTC-Taylor/Ferrer · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Sian Haworth-Liu
0.045below expectation — took 35% of games against 56% expected
7-6, 6-1
W
Ruby Thompson / Halle Jackson
2026-03-29 · LOTC-Taylor/Ferrer · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tarynn Berkman
0.025below expectation — took 52% of games against 62% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-03-13 · LOTC-Mendenhall/Green-Zwemke · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emily Hagelgans
+0.016better than expected — took 80% of games against 65% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
2026-03-07 · LOTC-Mendenhall/Green-Zwemke · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Erica Drake
+0.017better than expected — took 50% of games against 44% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.