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Lucy Erickson

Portland, OR
4.5S year-end 2025
16 matches · 14W–2L · seasons 20262026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.54
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 16 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 4.0
32%
stay 4.5
68%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 75% stay · 25% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.45. Lower than today’s 4.54 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.5
2 of 124
OR · 4.5
3 of 247

Lucy is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.5
100%
6W–0L · 67.6% of games
5.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
9.0
100%
4W–0L · 75% of games
9.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history16 matches
W
2026-07-08 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Paige Polizois
+0.048better than expected — took 80% of games against 54% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Allison Buchman / Michelle Ly
2026-07-03 · #1 Doubles · 5.0 · with Amanda Jensen
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
W
Sansriti Ranjan / Lauren Skelly
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 5.0 · with Elsa Oestermarker
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
L
2026-06-19 · #1 Doubles · 5.0 · with Elsa Oestermarker
+0.032better than expected — took 44% of games against 33% expected
2-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
2026-06-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Emilee Plank
0.023below expectation — took 52% of games against 62% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-06-05 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kristen Kopack
+0.046better than expected — took 75% of games against 50% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Sammy Bui
+0.001about as expected — took 48% of games against 49% expected
2-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Joanne Rodgers
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-2
W
2026-03-29 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Maureen Dugan
+0.015better than expected — took 86% of games against 69% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
Caitlin Edwards
2026-02-20 · #1 Female Singles · 9.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1
W
2026-01-31 · #1 Female Doubles · 9.0 · with Tracy Gagnon
+0.009better than expected — took 67% of games against 59% expected
6-3
W
2026-01-25 · #1 Female Singles · 9.0
+0.004better than expected — took 67% of games against 61% expected
6-3
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.