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James Ferguson

Bainbridge Island, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
110 matches · 42W–68L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.54
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
32%
down to 3.5
68%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 19% down · 81% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.57. Higher than today’s 3.54 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bainbridge Island · 4.0
11 of 12
WA · 4.0
675 of 782

James is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

James has been 4.0 for all 5 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.54.020192020202120222023

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 8.0, James has gone from the 78th to the 17th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.0
46.7%
14W–16L · 49.9% of games
8.0
51.5%
17W–16L · 49.5% of games
8.0mixed
29.4%
10W–24L · 43.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history110 matches
L
2026-06-20 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Amanda Bast
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 37% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
Peter Wachter / David Gravenkemper
2025-11-22 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steven Curtis
0.034below expectation — took 35% of games against 52% expected
7-6, 6-1
L
2025-11-15 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Roan Blacker
0.054below expectation — took 0% of games against 36% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
N/A
2025-11-08 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steven Curtis
0.042about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
Steve Eggerman / Rich Gacer
2025-10-12 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Roan Blacker
0.018below expectation — took 55% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 5-6
L
2025-10-04 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with David X Nghiem
0.033below expectation — took 33% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2025-09-27 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Chris Hall
0.031below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2025-09-21 · #3 Doubles · with Hana Farr
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2025-07-19 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Hana Farr
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-7, 1-0
L
2025-06-14 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Fatima Wallin
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
1-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2024-11-17 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with John Walker
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
6-2, 6-3
L
Benny Viloria / Michael Ahn
2024-11-09 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with John Walker
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.