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Michael Ogden

West Linn, OR
3.5C year-end 2024
61 matches · 38W–23L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.08
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
15%
down to 3.0
85%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 10% down · 90% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.10. Higher than today’s 3.08 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
West Linn · 3.5
31 of 34
OR · 3.5
667 of 735

Michael is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams16 teams · 2019–2026
NOR-SHC-Lumetta
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 3.5 Men
2026
SHC-Lumetta
2025 Adult 55 & Over · 7.0 Men
2025
N OR-CRRC-Ash
2024 Mixed 18 & Over · 6.0 Mixed
2024
SHC-O'Hollaren
2023 Mixed 40 & Over · 7.0 Mixed
2023
N OR-LOTC-Lumetta
2023 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2023
SHC-O'Hollaren
2023 Mixed 18 & Over · 7.0 Mixed
2023
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Michael has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.5201920202021202220232026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2022, 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Michael has gone from the 24th to the 88th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2021.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
66.7%
18W–9L · 59.4% of games
3.5
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
7.0
66.7%
4W–2L · 46.9% of games
6.0mixed
71.4%
5W–2L · 57.3% of games
7.0mixed
90%
9W–1L · 63.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history61 matches
L
2026-06-21 · NOR-SHC-Lumetta · #3 Doubles · with Thomas Greiner
0.037below expectation — took 25% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-06-12 · NOR-SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Philip Sterling
0.067below expectation — took 8% of games against 45% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2026-05-10 · NOR-SHC-Lumetta · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Robert Tatsumi
0.064below expectation — took 25% of games against 57% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
2024-10-27 · SHC-Lumetta · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Eric Anderson
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
6-3, 6-3
W
2024-10-26 · SHC-Lumetta · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Eric Anderson
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
6-0, 7-6
L
2024-10-11 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Bill Christensen
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
5-7, 6-1, 1-0
W
2024-10-04 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Monte Gonzales
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
6-2, 0-6, 1-0
W
2024-09-15 · SHC-Lumetta · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Monte Gonzales
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
1-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2024-09-06 · SHC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Eric Anderson
not counted — an opponent has no rating on record
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2023-08-26 · N OR-LOTC-Lumetta · #2 Doubles · with Seth Wagner
0.020below expectation — took 40% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Huai-Ping Lee / Ivan Hernandez Serranochamps
2023-08-25 · N OR-LOTC-Lumetta · #3 Doubles · with Eric Ayers
+0.004better than expected — took 80% of games against 69% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
John Short / Fred Sutardjo
2023-06-17 · N OR-LOTC-Lumetta · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Christian Paulsen
0.005about as expected — took 68% of games against 65% expected
7-6, 6-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.