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Seth Wagner

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
127 matches · 51W–76L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.03
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 28 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
34%
stay 3.0
66%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 77% stay · 23% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.94. Lower than today’s 3.03 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
69 of 357
OR · 3.0
110 of 600

Seth is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams31 teams · 2019–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Seth has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 7 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.52019202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2019, 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Seth has gone from the 61st to the 15th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
57.7%
15W–11L · 57.3% of games
3.5
32.5%
13W–27L · 44.7% of games
6.0mixed
52.6%
10W–9L · 52.5% of games
7.0mixed
35.7%
10W–18L · 43.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history127 matches
W
2026-07-26 · PTC-Lee/Daoud · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Lysa Morla Maxey
+0.000below expectation — took 50% of games against 58% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-07-18 · PTC-Lee/Daoud · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Lysa Morla Maxey
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Hyun Jeong Min / Donghyup Ryumixed
2026-07-10 · PTC-Lee/Daoud · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Katja Daoud
+0.000better than expected — took 92% of games against 70% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2026-06-12 · PTC-Wagner/Tse · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jared Wick
0.006below expectation — took 25% of games against 35% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
John Jack Magaddino
2026-05-31 · LOTC-Mounts/Rich · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.009about as expected — took 48% of games against 51% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Joseph Siri / Rahul Singhal
2026-05-30 · PTC-Wagner/Tse · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Scott Tse
+0.053better than expected — took 75% of games against 48% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Brady McAtee
2026-05-23 · LOTC-Mounts/Rich · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.025below expectation — took 42% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-22 · PTC-Wagner/Tse · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.016better than expected — took 46% of games against 40% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-05-02 · PTC-Wagner/Tse · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Chu Wu
+0.007below expectation — took 14% of games against 24% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
2026-04-18 · PTC-Wagner/Tse · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Stefan Trinh
+0.008about as expected — took 41% of games against 40% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-04-11 · #1 Singles
+0.031better than expected — took 50% of games against 37% expected
7-6, 5-7, 1-0
W
Brett Schoepper
2026-04-05 · LOTC-Mounts/Rich · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.034better than expected — took 80% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.