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Michelle Ellett

West Linn, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
80 matches · 41W–39L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.60
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 5 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
11%
down to 2.5
89%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 7% down · 93% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.62. Higher than today’s 2.60 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
West Linn · 3.0
21 of 21
OR · 3.0
566 of 600

Michelle is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams29 teams · 2017–2026
CRRC-Ash
2026 Mixed 18 & Over · 6.0 Mixed
2026
CRRC-Mosbrucker
2026 Adult 55 & Over · 6.0 Women
2026
CRRC-Ash/Johnson
2025 Mixed 18 & Over · 6.0 Mixed
2025
CRRC-Glenn(s)
2025 Mixed 55 & Over · 7.0 Mixed
2025
CRRC-Ash/Jacobsen
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Women
2025
CRRC-Ash
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Women
2025
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Michelle has been 3.0 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

2.53.02019202020212022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Michelle has gone from the 37th to the 15th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
44%
22W–28L · 46.9% of games
6.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
62.5%
15W–9L · 52.3% of games
7.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history80 matches
W
Anne Vanderlinden / Theresa Hagerty
2025-11-30 · CRRC-Mosbrucker · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Lisa Smith
+0.057better than expected — took 75% of games against 46% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Teresa Metke / Kathi Hermanski
2025-11-22 · CRRC-Mosbrucker · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Elizabeth Hayes
+0.028better than expected — took 67% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
Hunter Chace / Isabel Doranmixed
2025-11-15 · CRRC-Ash · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Bill Henry
+0.000below expectation — took 39% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
L
2025-10-26 · CRRC-Ash · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Jeremy Harkin
+0.000below expectation — took 48% of games against 55% expected
7-5, 5-7, 1-0
L
Kimberly Shaffer / Cara Partch
2025-10-04 · CRRC-Mosbrucker · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Elizabeth Hayes
0.061below expectation — took 40% of games against 64% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2025-05-10 · CRRC-Ash/Jacobsen · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elizabeth Hayes
0.001about as expected — took 50% of games against 52% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
L
2025-04-26 · CRRC-Glenn(s) · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Ryan Owens
+0.000below expectation — took 33% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2025-04-05 · CRRC-Ash/Jacobsen · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Roxanna Johnson
+0.008about as expected — took 52% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
2025-03-23 · CRRC-Glenn(s) · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mark Hopkins
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 29% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2025-03-16 · CRRC-Ash · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elizabeth Hayes
+0.019better than expected — took 57% of games against 48% expected
7-6, 6-4
L
Erin Keyser / Laura Rosencrantz
2025-03-02 · CRRC-Ash · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ivy Lane
0.027below expectation — took 20% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Angie Keam / Alice Phillips
2025-01-12 · CRRC-Ash · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Brenda Jones
0.015below expectation — took 25% of games against 38% expected
6-3, 6-1
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