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THAO VAN

Beaverton, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
90 matches · 62W–28L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.13
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 23 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
5%
stay 3.0
95%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 41% stay · 59% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.02. Lower than today’s 3.13 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Beaverton · 3.0
5 of 47
OR · 3.0
45 of 600

THAO is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams21 teams · 2020–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

THAO has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.0202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, THAO has gone from the 31st to the 80th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
2.5
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
3.0
72.5%
29W–11L · 60.3% of games
3.5
100%
4W–0L · 70.6% of games
6.0mixed
63.6%
7W–4L · 61.2% of games
7.0mixed
68.8%
11W–5L · 58.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history90 matches
W
N/A
2026-06-20 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.055better than expected — took 100% of games against 64% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-06-19 · Love Means Nothing · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sophia Johnson
0.058below expectation — took 33% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-06-17 · Love Means Nothing · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Roxanna Johnson
0.006about as expected — took 42% of games against 45% expected
7-5, 7-5
W
Rebecca Dwiggins / Kara Petracca
2026-06-14 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Gill · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Roxanna Johnson
+0.024better than expected — took 55% of games against 45% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
N/A
2026-06-07 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Gill · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Aileen Valadez
+0.047better than expected — took 100% of games against 67% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-06-06 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Ash · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Vanessa Weber
+0.009better than expected — took 67% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
Katie Morrison
2026-05-24 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.034better than expected — took 67% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
Jasmine Tyler / Sheena Alingas
2026-05-23 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Ash · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Roxanna Johnson
+0.019better than expected — took 80% of games against 64% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
2026-05-17 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Gill · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jennifer Pultz
+0.040better than expected — took 67% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
Erin Donovan
2026-05-06 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.042below expectation — took 56% of games against 69% expected
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Jennie Ehleringer / Jennifer Tadjedin
2026-05-03 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Ash · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Julia Henry
0.021about as expected — took 71% of games against 71% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-05-02 · CRRC-Jacobsen/Ash · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Julia Henry
+0.027better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-1
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