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Rachel Mattson

Arimo, ID
3.5C year-end 2025
213 matches · 138W–75L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.70
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 27 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
1%
stay 3.5
99%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 20% stay · 80% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.57. Lower than today’s 3.70 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
ID · 3.5
14 of 289
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Rachel is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Rachel has been 3.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Rachel has gone from the 67th to the 100th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level8 levels played
3.5
72.7%
48W–18L · 60% of games
4.0
54.5%
12W–10L · 55% of games
4.5
44.4%
4W–5L · 51.2% of games
6.0mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.5mixed
25%
1W–3L · 51.4% of games
7.0mixed
78.3%
18W–5L · 61.9% of games
7.5mixed
78.6%
11W–3L · 60% of games
8.0mixed
47.1%
8W–9L · 51.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history213 matches
W
2026-07-27 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wendy Elison
+0.018better than expected — took 86% of games against 68% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
2026-07-18 · #1 Doubles · with Lyndsi Whitworth
−0.034below expectation — took 35% of games against 52% expected
7-6, 6-1
W
2026-07-18 · #1 Doubles · with Lyndsi Whitworth
+0.012better than expected — took 60% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · with Lyndsi Whitworth
−0.033below expectation — took 53% of games against 65% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · with Lyndsi Whitworth
+0.022better than expected — took 80% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Carrie Rose Lindley / Kirsten Nickisch
2026-07-14 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
W
Lyn McArthur / Emily Smith
2026-07-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-07-06 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
−0.006better than expected — took 75% of games against 69% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
2026-06-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
−0.038below expectation — took 75% of games against 80% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
+0.003about as expected — took 43% of games against 43% expected
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
Melissa Millican / Allishia Sanford
2026-06-19 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
W
2026-06-19 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lyndsi Whitworth
+0.019better than expected — took 80% of games against 64% expected
6-2, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.